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View Full Version : Politics The race of H1N1 vaccine



Dark-san
July 24, 2009, 11:28 PM
Although it is a bit of an old news, I am wondering why hasn't anyone posted on this major issues yet.

Quote from The Straits Times - June 14, 2009 (http://www.straitstimes.com/Breaking+News/Tech+and+Science/Story/STIStory_390232.html)

NEW YORK - THE race is on among drugmakers to produce a vaccine for the Influenza A (H1N1) virus. Baxter International has said it is in full-scale production of a vaccine that could be ready for commercial use next month.

The announcement came a day after Novartis said it expected a vaccine for the virus, the source of the first flu pandemic in 40 years, to be available by September.

The Baxter and Novartis vaccines were both developed using cell-based technology that could allow for much more rapid production and distribution than traditional vaccines produced using chicken eggs.

The Novartis vaccine will enter clinical trials next month, the Swiss drugmaker said last Friday, a day after the World Health Organisation (WHO) declared a pandemic and warned governments to prepare for a long battle against the virus.

Baxter said it has completed testing and evaluation of the virus and would submit its H1N1 flu vaccine for approval upon completion of initial manufacturing runs.

European drugmakers Novartis, Sanofi-Aventis, GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) and Solvay all obtained the H1N1 flu seed virus in recent weeks and aim to have a vaccine ready ahead of the flu season in the northern hemisphere.

The WHO has estimated vaccine-makers could produce up to 4.9 billion pandemic flu shots a year in a best-case scenario, leaving some of the world's 6.5 billion population unprotected, particularly if more than one injection was needed to gain immunity.

Novartis said first results with the H1N1 wild type strain showed it was quicker to make the vaccine through cell-based rather than through egg-based production, and it had completed its first batch weeks earlier than expected.

Its cell-culture vaccine plant in Marburg, Germany, had the potential to produce millions of doses a week, but it was difficult to predict output capacity for now.

Spokesman Eric Althoff said Novartis should have the vaccine ready in September or October. He was unsure if other companies had completed the first stage of the production process. -- REUTERS

Much further on in the news update, it seems like Australia and Europe has begin the clinical testing on humans. United States on its part are looking for volunteers to test their own vaccine. And the papers wrote that if successful, they may begin the test on children as early as next year. =\

Although H1N1 has been declared as the first 21st century pandemic. It is only responsible for 700 odd global deaths so far. Over in Singapore alone, four related H1N1 deaths. Although in those four cases, the patients already have other underlying health problems.

My only concern is that would the fast demand push for the vaccine actually benefit all of us? Mind you that drugs takes at least decades for it to be approved and consider safe before it is to be widely used by medical professionals. And would this sudden push of clinical trials do us good?

Feel free to discuss. =)

blai
July 25, 2009, 08:33 AM
I know for sure that in Sweden the mass-vaccination will start this Autumn and the hospitals are prepared to take care of around 5milion infected persons. So actions have been made and measures has been taken. What I am afraid of though is that the mass-vaccination will make the H1N1 virus to mutate and become resistant. Since we humans love antibiotics and are often taking them even though it's not needed, I'm afraid that the virus will develop a resistance, similar to antibiotic resistance. The current drugs are only effective against this portion of the virus...

If there'll be a 2nd one, or a mutation, we stand helpless. If a mutation comes with increased lethality we will rush into a mass-vaccination before we're prepared ourselves. Panic will spread and it'll do more harm than good.

I'm also very afraid of how the world economy will change this since a lot of countries are depending on tourism and if the flu spreads there, and deaths are reported, people won't go there and the countries income will decrease, taxes will increase and whatnot. Especially for a country like Sweden where we pay high taxes to get free health-care etc.

If our tourism starts to suffer a lot from this, the income will decrease and then they need to increase the taxes to maintain the level of professionalism @ hospitals since 9.5/10 are government owned and there are almost no private practices...

It's a loose-loose situation? T___T

Dark-san
July 25, 2009, 09:00 AM
I don't see it as a lose-lose situation. It's true that this pandemic can be deadly if it mutates. But if a country that have biotechnology industry as its core industry could utilize this pandemic and rides itself out of this economic storm especially since it is only logical that the demand for it is obviously there.

Singapore for example has suffered straight drops in the manufacturing and electronics outputs. But for the first time, the biomedical sector has performed better than expectations and lifting our GDP forecast from -6% to -4%. 0.o;

Hence it can be a lose-win situation. But the losing situation will more of long term, because as we know the virus will still need time to mutate. >.>;

Edit-

While we are at it hundreds of people are swamping the hotlines to book their place for the H1N1 clinical trials (http://edition.cnn.com/2009/HEALTH/07/25/swine.flu.vaccine.volunteers/index.html) over in the United States.