Geshode reasoning is very well thought out and put across. I will try and add it with my own. Geshode concluded there are five members who's actions implicate them or make them suspicious, they are me, AI, Ustegius, Bugzee and Xadyu. However I know i am not mafia, so i will swap my name with Geshode himself (Geshode similarly excluded himself). The five members left are thus: Geshode, AI, Ustegius, Bugzee and Xadyu.
I will cross out two names immediately.,Bugzee and Ustegius. For the reason i posted above, both were online for a very short time during the night phase. And i dont believe it was a long enough time for them to communicate with other Mafia, discuss and finally decide on a hit.
This leaves us with A_I, Xadyu and Geshode. The reasoning for Geshode being a townie is that he has twice voted to lynch Ustegius, if he was a mafia member Ustegius should conceivably be dead during the night phase. However this can bring about a lot of questions, What if he was overruled by the other two mafia? What if its trick to convince us to kill a townie? I digress, and I think i am being too paranoid. So for the time being he is crossed out.
Now before we go into the two remaning. So far we only have one confirmed Mafia member Kakashi919. I think from looking at what he posted we might get hints. Firstly, around the beginning of the thread the two most suspicious people were me (for the failed trap attempt) and Xadyu and him implying he knows "secrets" etc. From the outset (besides on half joking post) Kakashi focused hard on trying to cast suspicions on A_I and myself. Conviently missing out on one other person.
Going back to the other two, one thing going for A_I is that Kakashi919 voted to kill him. Now a Mafia member would vote to kill someone for one of two reasons, 1. That person is a townie 2. Its a trick rehearsed between Mafia members. Since the Mafia couldnt talk through PM's in the day phase, there was no way of rehearsing a trick. So i am going to go with number 1.
All that is left is Xadyu. He is someone i have been suspicious of from the outset. Now my reasoning against Xadyu is drawn from his suspicious posts:
This post is after Aki tried to put even more suspicions on Kakashi919. Aki made a reasonably statement that Kakashi should be a bit more active in trying to get us to change our vote to kill him, instead of just voting to kill me and AI (you cannot vote to kill two people) and saying he hates us. Xadyu was the only person who came (very suspiciously on hindsight) to kakashi919s defence.
This is his kill vote, observe the bold.
He was doubting between me and AI. Now that sounds a lot like the dilemma facing a certain other member:
Now remembering that the Mafia can only communicate during the night phase so no elaborate scheme could be made between them. We can conclude the following:
- Kakashi919 and Xadyu did not vote to kill each other
- Kakashi919 and Xadyu did not try and cast suspicions on each other
- Xadyu and Kakashi919 had a similar voting patterns and "dilemmas"
- Xadyu came to Kakashi919 defence when it was beginning to seem likely he would be killed
Vote kill Xadyu
