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Thread: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

  1. #91
    Registered User MH中毒 / MH Chuudoku / MH Addicted FrostyMouse's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Well, if I'd made it here those other two times, perhaps I could've had some draws or wins and even won the prediction table.

  2. #92
    Reviewer 有名人 / Yuumeijin / Celebrity alphabeta's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Prediction league gets more and more interesting.

    ---------- Post added at 01:23 PM ---------- Previous post was at 01:14 PM ----------

    Darjaille vs warbandit66 --> war wins
    -Ken- vs thornofcarrion --> -thorn wins
    Jyten vs jimtors --> Jyten wins
    Kaoz vs FrostyMouse --> Kaoz wins

    I predict no draws at all this round


    Also, I think it might be interesting to add in the prediction league an additional point for correctly guessing the winner of the BFL depending on the round when the prediction was submitted. In other words, if someone correctly predicts the winner before Round 1 he gets... 4 points, before round 2 - 3,5 points, before round 3 - 3 points and so on.

    ---------- Post added May 03, 2012 at 09:32 PM ---------- Previous post was May 01, 2012 at 01:23 PM ----------

    Today's the day of Round 6 results, right?
    Last edited by alphabeta; May 01, 2012 at 04:26 AM.

  3. #93
    ~ Forum Fixer ~ 有名人 / Yuumeijin / Celebrity Miyagi's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Yes, Round 6 results will be announced tonight.

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  5. #94
    MangaHelper 有名人 / Yuumeijin / Celebrity Kaoz's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Round 6 Predictions

    Darjaille vs warbandit66 --> warbandit66
    -Ken- vs thornofcarrion --> Draw
    Jyten vs jimtors --> Jyten
    Kaoz vs FrostyMouse --> FrostyMouse

  6. #95
    Registered User 有名人 / Yuumeijin / Celebrity warbandit66's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    I'm really looking forward to this result, I feel like it could make or break me.
    Jiraiya: His hair are the best

  7. #96
    Registered User MH中毒 / MH Chuudoku / MH Addicted FrostyMouse's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    I'll need a postponement until tomorrow. I'll get it to you then.

    ---------- Post added at 11:08 PM ---------- Previous post was at 11:07 PM ----------

    Darjaille vs warbandit66 --> Draw
    -Ken- vs thornofcarrion --> Draw
    Jyten vs jimtors --> Jyten
    Kaoz vs FrostyMouse --> Draw

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  9. #97
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Short results of Round 6:

    Darjaille vs warbandit66 --> Draw
    -Ken- vs thornofcarrion --> thornofcarrion wins (auto-win)
    Jyten vs jimtors --> Draw
    Kaoz vs FrostyMouse --> postponed

    Detailed results with all strategies and fights are in OP.

    Surprise result of the round is Jyten vs jimtors. Everybody predicted that Jyten would win but jimtors secured a draw. The game shows that there're no easy points and everything can happen. warbandit66 missed his chance to take advantage of Jyten's draw but considering that Darjaille has not lost a game yet, perhaps draw is a good result. An unexpected easy victory for thornofcarrion gives him hope in title race. Another interesting note is that warbandit66 and jimtors scored their first draws in Round 6.

    Due to surprise results, there's not much change in prediction score table. Things got quite complicated though and the result of tomorrow's Kaoz vs FrostyMouse will be crucial for both leagues.

  10. #98
    The Original 伝説メンバー / Densetsu / Legendary Member thornofcarrion's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    I am the only winner in Round 6 .

    Kaoz vs. Frosty - statistically speaking, Kaoz has advantage. It does not guarantee a win though. Frosty need to do something different, if he hasn't already tried all different strategies / options.

  11. #99
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Even though Kaoz has a much better track record, this is not a good match-up for him and in theory both sides have equal chances. The side who anticipates other side's strategy will win and since FrostyMouse is familiar with Kaoz's tactics from SPoT Fan League, it makes things a bit harder for Kaoz because he needs points more than FrostyMouse does. Even though I predicted a draw, this is one of the volatile match-ups which can easily go either way. FrostyMouse doesn't have a win yet and he will probably want to make an impact in the title race by handing one of the leaders his first loss. If Kaoz loses this game, he'll also lose his chance to win the title, so this game is extremely important for him.

    My predictions for Round 7:

    warbandit66 vs -Ken- --> warbandit66 wins
    Darjaille vs Jyten --> Draw
    thornofcarrion vs Kaoz --> Kaoz wins
    jimtors vs FrostyMouse --> Draw

  12. #100
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    I think Miyagi has the highest chances of winning the predictions leauge simply because he is (arguably) the only person who's read every single battle and hence knows every players tactics and strategy. On the other hand, I didn't read a single battle and everything was just intuition.

  13. #101
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    To be honest, I don't examine people's strategies to have an opinion about their future tactics and make accurate predictions, I just calculate the results without paying particular attention to any details. In first round, I tried to analyze the match-ups based on comparative strengths and weaknesses of the characters but people's choices are usually different from what you expect from them. My predictions are based on intuition like everybody else's.

    ---------- Post added May 05, 2012 at 12:40 AM ---------- Previous post was May 04, 2012 at 11:10 PM ----------

    Result of the postponed game

    Kaoz vs FrostyMouse --> Kaoz wins (auto-win)

    Kaoz now has nine points but warbandit66 still has the advantage because he has higher number of wins. If Kaoz wins and warbandit66 draws or loses in round 7, Kaoz will win BFL. If both warbandit66 and Kaoz loses, and Jyten wins, Jyten will win the title but it's highly unlikely because both Kaoz and Jyten's opponent darj haven't lost a game yet.

    May 6 is the last day to submit battle strategies for round 7.

  14. #102
    Reviewer 有名人 / Yuumeijin / Celebrity alphabeta's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Is it just me, or did you forget to give me a point for the Kaoz/Frosty match?

  15. #103
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Quote Quote:
    Predict the results of the four fights in each round, i.e. "Player A wins" or "draw". For each correct guess you'll get one point and the person who collects most points after seven rounds will win the Best Predictor Award of Bleach Fan League. No points will be given for fights which result in an auto-loss. If you don't make any predictions in a round, you won't get any points in that round.
    Kaoz won by default so nobody gets any points from that particular game.

  16. #104
    Registered User MH中毒 / MH Chuudoku / MH Addicted FrostyMouse's Avatar
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    I still feel like I got cheated there somehow. I passed out after class yesterday, so I never got my postponement time in, but we'll just let it go...

  17. #105
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    Re: Bleach Fan League (BFL) Thread

    Normally the strategies were to be submitted by May 3 but due to your one day extension request, you were allowed to submit your strategy on May 4. I posted the result of the game on May 5 (EET).

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