
Originally Posted by
hyper_megaman
Hypothetical:
Al Qaeda is planning to bomb the white house and take over the US.
One of Al Qaeda's members, for whatever reasons (peace loving, ambition to take over senior's position, etc) acts as an informant and passes that plan along to CIA in conjunction with the president. We shall call him "Person X".
Knowing they would be affected greatly by this attack and being unsure if they can prevent it from happening, CIA tries to negotiate with Al Qaeda, but Al Qaeda refuses to stop their plans.
CIA then goes for plan B: wiping out Al Qaeda before they can carry out the plan.
The first person they approach is Person X. Why Person X?
- This wouldn't endanger their own CIA agents, people of confirmed loyalty, unnecessarily
- You use one of Al Qaeda to wipe itself out from within and do nothing but provide orders
- You don't even know if Person X is truly sworn to your cause. In case he's just a double agent, sending anyone else in there with his knowledge would just be sending them into the lion's jaw.
- In this regard, this keeps Person X separate from their other backup plans to combat Al Qaeda and/or attempt to prevent said attack from happening. Person X himself is Plan B, and they can have other contingency plans such as C, D, E that cover the possibility of fighting Al Qaeda entirely including Person X (the possible double agent).
In short, having Person X be that one single person to destroy Al Qaeda from within is a 'nothing to lose' tactic. It does not mean they especially trusted Person X to be totally loyal. In stark contrast, it's actually because of mistrust for Person X that makes this Plan B so perfect, you lose nothing at all whether this plan fails or succeeds!
Why on earth would you get rid of the current standing US president and let Person X, a person of ambiguous connection to Al Qaeda, be president in his stead?
A lot of this theory is based on retrospective hindsight.
NOW, today, we know Itachi is fiercely loyal to Konoha without fail.
Back then, during the Uchiha's planning stage, Itachi's allegience was ambiguous.
Hell, none of us saw Itachi's loyalty until Kishi explained it explicitly, and we're neutral audiences. Now imagine what the ruling members of Konoha were thinking when they had their village on the line and had to err on the side of caution.
If any of us had the power of exercising judgment as accurately as it will seem in hindsight, we would be stock market billionaires. We wouldn't even need to finish reading Naruto, we would know exactly what would come next.