Since vomics seem to have died down recently (the youtube channel is doing a MHA recap series at the moment), I think it's a good idea to summarize recent activity so that we can keep it in mind as the newbies debut and new series get announced.
First of all, let's start with newbies performance, from oldest to newest:
- BUILD KING: PV 31k, vomic 43k
- Sakamoto Days: PV 51k, vomic 1398k
- Elusive Samurai: PV 132k, vomic 156k
- I tell c: PV 32k, no vomic
- Witch Watch: PV 233k, vomic 40k
- Kowloon: PV 10k, vomic 10k
Sakamoto's success in this front has already been pointed out. It's the most successfull vomic so far, and Suzuki's other one-shots have performed really well too. This, together with recent colour pages and ToC positions, makes it quite a promising newcomer. Expectations are high for Vol. 1 release in April.
If we restrict ourselves to vomics released this year (from Magu-chan's 2nd onwards), the view quartiles lie at 23K, 37k and 75k. This should put the performance of the most recent newbies into perspective: Elusive Samurai is the best of the bunch (only surpassed by Matsui's own F-Ken) and magazine performance seems to match, while Witch Watch is more middle of the road, which is especially disappointing after one of the best performing PVs ever.
On the other hand, Kowloon has one of the worst performances ever. For reference, the vomic came out March 1st and it only has managed to rack up 10k views (and day to day growth is pretty minimal). Meanwhile, High School Family, a Jump sales failure probably on its way out) released 12 days afterwards and currently has more than twice its views.
I tell c is the only newbie that hasn't received a vomic. Before jumping into conclusions I would point out that its first volume is currently slated for late april (earlier than all others), so maybe they are waiting to realease with the new volume.
Another potentially interesting aspect is using vomics to see if they can provide any indication of who will draw the new series in the magazine. It has happened once before (with Yuto Suzuki's Cropse Dirstric) that vomics were released for jump-authors-to-be.
Since then, vomics have fallen into one of 3 categories:
- Vomics for new series in Jump or, more recently, Jump+ (starting with Build King, they have come out around chapter 3).
- Vomics for authors that were releasing a new volume (see Furudate, Pozuka-Shirai or Fujimoto one-shots)
- Vomics for stablished authors that have started a new series (see Matsui's F-Ken or Phantom Seer Duo's vampire one-shot).
However there are a couple of vomics that don't fall onto any category:
- There have been a bunch of voiced romcom one-shots, including Takahide's First-time Honeytrap or Date's Gal Family. Due to the fact that they are from different authors and spaced out in time, I don't think this means anything other than the fact that Jump is interested in a new romcom. You could put Blue Box into this category too.
- We also have two authors that have received vomics in quick succession but are not currently working on any projects: Shuichi Aso (Saiki) and Momose Nao (Popo)
This might mean that these two are going to start a new series soon, potentially in Jump.