Re: MAFIA GAME 22 DEATH NOTE DAY 8!
At this point, you all know who i am gonna vote for. But before that, gonna explain what lead me to conclude Niichan could be Mafia, something i have been mentioning on the previous day phases! All my theory started with the fact that it isn't mandatory for the Mafia to have a Mafia Boss. My theory can also work if Niichan isn't a Mafia Detective but still, at this point the chances of him being able to pull something like this wouldn't be as high if he isn't a detective. We know who are the other Mafia: Lawl, which ended being the Janitor, Mazino and Kdowns.
Niichan had the best possible start on the game. He was the main reason why Frost died. After that, even if he is Mafia, he could pretty much relax during the day phases. What seemed to be a bad move for the Mafia, was definitely a good move for him.
Now if i am not mistaken at day phase 2, Kdowns was the one who ended being lynched, and one of the person that led that action was no one else than Niichan. Honestly this one strikes me as rather suspicious. But honestly Kdowns being inactive, i think Niichan decided that it was best to get rid of him. Once again Niichan would strength his "townie status", and transforming a "time bomb" like Kdowns, into something productive for the Mafia.
And not only that, but in the end i ended being seen as the most suspicious since i casted a vote on Kdowns, completely ignoring the fact he could be a bomb, but i have explained my point about this many time.
But honestly what seems rather suspicious in all of this, was Lawl's behavior. At day phase 4 both of them clashed ... and Niichan once again stood on the top, but what happened was a clearly "surrender" on Lawl's side. People even mentioned the fact he didn't even seem to be even trying to defend himself. Now looking back, the way he attacked Niichan, using as the main argument the fact that Niichan wanted revenge from Frost because of a previous game, was weak imo, and at my opinion it was something they premeditated. Why would Lawl even go for Niichan at that point? Doesn't make any sense. As i mentioned Niichan was pretty much well protected from being lynched during the day, because of 2 successful moves: the destruction of the third party, and being one of the reason why everyone started bandwagon Kdowns. So why would Lawl go for Niichan, and to make it even more weird, with such arguments?
My theory is that they all this planned ... people mentioned the fact Lawl doesn't know how to play Mafia, and honestly i think that's total crap. He is one of the biggest trolls i know on this forum, the chances of him doing such a bad play at that stage, isn't really that simple to analyse. Plus he isn't a noob on Mafia Games ...
So in the end Niichan was once again the one who lead to the death of another Mafia, in this case a Janitor, which obviously is an important role for the Mafia. But what is interesting is the fact that until then, we know the Mafia couldn't use the janitor for anything. First night phase, xi0 mentioned blocking Lawl ... they were prolly fearing the fact that Lawl would keep being targeted, so if we actually look into it, once again the biggest loss for Mafia, was on the number. Having a janitor wasn't having any importance on the Mafia side. But at this point and with Niichan revealing he was the bulletproof, there wouldn't be anyone would go against him anymore, at least until a stage like the one we are currently.
Now, that's why i think Niichan is the Mafia Detective. Plus if i remember correctly 3c was killed during night and since 3c was the freeman, a the day phase got skipped. So when it seems nothing would had changed, Mafia could be able to kill 2 people and investigate another 2 people. So by the time Niichan claimed to be the bulletproof ... something that together with the amount of roles that were know, either by the death people or by people revealing them, and the information he got from the previous nights, gave him the power to claim such role.
The only thing that fails on my theory is the fact Faust targeted him during 2 nights and i targeted him during 3 nights, being this previous night, my third attempt, and obviously i failed. At this point it isn't really important to conclude which one of us is what, but i think as i mentioned a lot of times, faust being the insane is much more likely than me being the insane and him being the naive. But anyway at this point Niichan survived at least 2 times from the work of the insane doctor. It's still possible though.
From this point on, i mean there were a lot of victims, being one of them, another Mafia, and surprise, surprise, Niichan was once again one of the people that agreed and gave solid information to why that person should be lynhed. Niichan did it, when obviously Mazino wouldn't last long. So once again, Niichan strengths his status as the Townie, who couldn't surely be a Mafia.
And to make everything worse for my side, Niichan has been protecting me way too much over this last couple of phases. Why would he even do that? If he was really townie, he knew for sure, there were chances of me being Mafia, but he completely ignored them. For an experienced Mafia Game player to do so ... it could be easily unnoticed, by the fact of our relationship is really good so it's normal, but Niichan knows aswell as me that this is a game, and you have to question everyone. Obviously i played with this ... i didn't wanted to be killed at this phase, cuz honestly if it ended being Charlie and Niichan, it would be insta vote for Charlie, and townies would loose. That is assuming Charlie wasn't the mafia, something i won't say now, i thought be the case. I always had Charlie as a suspect, and he was definitely before Niichan on the probability of that case being true.
With this said, someone who played a lot of Mafia Games, deceived a lot of people on some of those games, decided to trust me without ever thinking of questioning me? Honestly i don't really understand what he would gain with something like that. Using the "bro i trusted you ... i can't believe you have fooled me" won't work at this phase, and not like Niichan is the only one who can use it anyway at this point.
And seriously at this point, asking Haku for proofs if he is really innocent, doesn't make sense at all .... seems like an attempt of something like this:
*let me ask haku, if he really is innocent ... i can play with that, since it will seem like i am not forgetting about anyone, and it will give the idea, i haven't given the fact jorped is a Mafia a thought, and will strength the fact that i Jorped being a Mafia is something really out of the blue for me*
It doesn't make any sense to act like this when we all know Haku isn't lying about his role. It isn't possible for this to be the case, since all previous "members of his group" died, and were confirmed to be Masons, so ... i don't really understand what you even aim with that. Seems like a pro mafia player acting like a noob, which i don't really buy it.
Anyway at this point, i am voting for him either way, but before doing so, Haku can ask me whatever he wants, and the same goes for you Niichan.