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Unless you're talking of a cooperation, Production I.G can't be the "safest bet" for a long runner. The studio only made 1 long running anime ever, Blood+ with 50 episodes. If they want it to be long runner then Studio Pierrot would certainly be the best bet.Yeah which is why at the very least it's 100% guaranteed to not be them. Toei is always on the production committee for their projects these days. On the note of the whole "correlation between distributors and studios" thing there is a little bit of that in some instances since Warner Japan's been known to use JC Staff for most of their projects and similarly Aniplex also uses A-1 Pictures a lot since they're partially invested in it.
When it comes to Toho though there's no real precident for guessing who'll do it since they've used a lot of different studios since moving more into the anime side of things. If I were to guess one based on who they have used in the past though, Production I.G. would seem the safest bet in the event they want it to be a long runner but it'll probably be someone else in all likelihood.
Majority of Toei TV series, and I'm talking of 99%, don't even have a production committee. Toei owns the rights of adaptation and than get together with a Television and an Advertisement company and makes the series.
From Toei you will usually only find a production committee in movies, not TV series.
Also, Toho Ad was the one that registered the domain, not Toho. They are different companies, just like Toei animation is a different company from Toei Company and Toei Philippines. Like Production I.G. is different from Wit studios and Tatsunoko productions.
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) I doubt whoever picks it up will put filler in it, unless Studio Pierrot picks it up, then it's a definitely going to have filler, hell, it will probably be all filler...