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Erwin's thought on what happened make it seem like he was the one who killed Rod and not Historia. If he was thinking about the goverment, he would have thought them, and if he thought SL stopped the king, it would have been we.
I know someone else said that things in this chapter supported the theory it was all staged, but the question is how they did it.
Historia says in the panel above she wants them to believe she did it, which doesn't prove she actually did kill Rod, and together with Erwin's own thoughts it seems like he did it. Even if he just have one arm (but we have seen him do amazing things with just one arm so nothing to question there really).
I would say it makes sense. The neck part flying in directly over the crowd doesn't make sense, but this does. Maybe the image of Historia cutting Rod's neck was just her imagining she did it while she cut a chunk of the titan right above the crowd.
So even if someone else found the neck part and finished him off, it would still seem like Historia did it. So maybe Erwin was the one who found it? (I know it didn't seem like he was in the actual fight, but who knows and his thought on it seems to support the theory at least).