I think you are vastly underestimating trump and how little people might end up caring about clinton even if they prefer her over trump. If what you said made sense then there wouldn't have been a single point since the primaries began in which trump even registered on the polls. However he cleaned house during the republican primaries. If things made sense then the republican party would have never aligned behind someone who is pro rusia. If clinton had this in the bad then at no point in the entire race should trump ever be near hillary in the polls (however unrepresentative they might be this early).
And why do you think hillary will have such an easy time with trump in a debate? Trump won't be there to talk policy, he will be there to make a show. Showmanship is not hillary's skill regardless of how good she might or not be in a debate. And she has to be ready to get called a bitch or a cunt or something of the sort as well. And how do you figure cruz is a clown? It's one thing to think he is an insane rightwing cuban who hates latinos and it is another one to think he is dumb. Just check his
education wiki. The guy is a private high school valedictorian, princeton cum laude, competed in debate panels, and represented freaking harvard in a world debate championship. Ted cruz, however right his fellow republicans are regarding him, is a brilliant man and by any metric excellent in a debate (insane nutjob is by no means the same as stupid, you can be insanely intelligent and insane). And even then trump beat him. Marco rubio flopped in a sad and hillarios way and while his academic carrier is less impressive than cruz' he is still a cum laude graduated attorney. and trump also beat him. And him doing this to hillary, someone to whom showmanship is far from natural, is by no means unrealistic. Maybe I could agree with you on bill or obama schooling trump in a debate. But hillary? Not really. I am not saying hillary isn't aggressively intelligent or that she doesn't know her shit. But there is plenty of reason to worry here. I feel like people aren't really panicking enough at the prospect of a trump presidency. I get the impression that people think it is not going to happen and whatnot. People need to look at the UK. Them leaving the EU was every bit as bafflingly stupid as a trump presidency. It's the equivalent of shooting yourself in the foot. With a bazooka. And it happened. Trump has a real shot at winning this, people should be panicking at this prospect.
First of all: Yes, cruz is a clown. Having a dr in law does not prevent you from being one, there are more than enough lawyers who are clowns.
I give him that he is probably good at debating. I have no doubt that in a one on one debate in a general election, he could beat trump (as clinton can).
But in the primary, there were a lot of clowns and kasich, and cruz was one of them.
He stepped on that level because he knew that the people who voted in the rep primary wanted him to deal with trump like that and that he (much like kasich) would have had no chance if he would just talk facts.
We are not in the primary anymore tho. if trump calls clinton a cunt on TV in a General elections debate, he has lost the debate at that moment.
And while i agree that clinton might not be the most natural debate winner, everything trump can do is making a show, and that is not something people will by in the generals. All clinton has to do is debunk him, and when he just keep stalking nonsense that will, unlike in the primary, be a problem for him.
After all, both have much more space to talk than in primary debates. She has much more room to call him out.
The brexit is a whole different beast. The brexit was always a thing even serious politicians kept talking about. Cameron himself, at some point, played with the idea of a brexit.
The brexit itself is also much less radical if you compare it to 'throw out all muslims' or 'build a wall'.
Many british, justified or not, first and foremost saw it as an opportunity to gain more souvereignity and economical benefits.
That is not unreasonable in itself. The measure taken also didnt seem to be very extreme.
It is different with trump. Every measure and every goal he formulates is in itself nutty and radical and basically no other politician would advocate for them.
If it had been only ukip and boris johnson who ever played or advocated for a brexit, it would not have happened.