The question really is whether Trump's behavior will help democrats in georgia.
If they do it successfully, they could make the senate runoff another referendum on Trump which they'd have a good shot at winning again.
On the one hand, there were more people supporting biden than the democratic senator contenders, which makes it probably that a significant amount of people voted red senate but blue presidency.
Usually, the black support especially wanes in the runoff, which cost democrats lots of senate elections in georgia. But this time, some factors help them:
If they do it successfully, they could make the senate runoff another referendum on Trump which they'd have a good shot at winning again.
On the one hand, there were more people supporting biden than the democratic senator contenders, which makes it probably that a significant amount of people voted red senate but blue presidency.
Usually, the black support especially wanes in the runoff, which cost democrats lots of senate elections in georgia. But this time, some factors help them:
- Georgia is going to decide the senate, so there is a bigger importance on going to vote here.
- There is a boost in motivation for georgia democrat leaning people to vote again because they just flipped the state.
- Loeffler and Purdue are bad candidates that are relatively vulnerable.
- Trump is not playing for the Team. He goes out and tells people to vote red, which will have an effect, but on the other hand, he raises money for himself instead for the senate candidates and does not push back hard against the 'dont vote' movement. There might be a small but significant margin of people who like trump but still will not vote, especially after Biden got confirmed now even by Mc Connell as president elect.
- Stacey Abrams is doing amazing work and democrats are catching up to it finally. They listen to her more, they are willing to give funds. That is important, they seem to have wised up and appeal to the black population in georgia more than just putting out a candidate they think white conservatives might vote for.